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04444 Advanced Time Series Analysis
Danish title: Videregående tidsrækkeanalyse

Type: Å, Language: DDD
Credit points: 5 point
Offered by: Department of Mathematical Modelling (IMM)
Prerequisite: 04244/C0416
Desirable: 04241/C0411
Recommended semester: 7th - 9th semester
Scope and form: Lectures and excercises
Examination: One or several reports are evaluated (13 point scale )
Remarks: International course.
Contact person: Henrik Madsen, IMM, Building 321, Tel. +45 4525 3408, email: hm@imm.dtu.dk
Jan Holst, IMM, tlf. +46 4610 9538, email: jahn@maths.Ith.se
Aim: To give an introduction to advanced time series analysis. The primary goal to give a thorough knowledge on modelling dynamic systems. A special attention is paid on non-linear and non-stationary systems, and the use of stochastic differential equations for modelling physical systems.
Contents: Non-linear time series models. Kernel estimators and time series analysis. Identification of non-linear models. State space models.
Prediction in non-linear models. State filtering. Stochastic differential equations. Estimation of linear and (some) non-linear stochastic differential equations. Experimental design for dynamic identification. Methods for tracking parameters in non-stationary time series. Examples of both non-linear and non-stationary models. Non-linear models and chaos.